Hamilton vs Alloa
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Hamilton. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: HamiltonGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.153 | A: -0.013Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.66. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -10.11% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League One (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Hamilton, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Hamilton has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Hamilton – Alloa Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Penarol - Montevideo Wanderers | 1.71 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Mylliem SC - Laitkor SC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | VJS Vantaa - PK Keski-Uusimaa | 1.71 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic - Beijing Institute | 1.66 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Gornik Leczna - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1.63 | -4.66% |
| WIN | GKS Tychy 71 - Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| WIN | UNA Strassen - Victoria Rosport | 1.72 | -10.11% |
| WIN | Hammarby TFF - FC Arlanda | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk | 1 | 1.66 | -4.66% | 07 Aug 21:00 |
| Heidenheim - VfL Osnabruck | 1 | 1.64 | -9.21% | 08 Aug 13:00 |
| Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge | 1 | 1.68 | -7.35% | 08 Aug 14:00 |
| Harrogate Town - Solihull Moors | 1 | 1.62 | -9.21% | 08 Aug 16:00 |
| Tondela - Amarante | 1 | 1.68 | -9.21% | 08 Aug 19:00 |
| FC Fredericia - Vendsyssel FF | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 15:00 |