Hamilton – Alloa

Model: TIPPSH

Hamilton vs Alloa

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.66
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 3h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hamilton. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HamiltonGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.153 | A: -0.013

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.46First seen
Current1.66Now
Max odds1.66Highest point
Min odds1.46Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HamiltonHOME
VS
AlloaAWAY
WWLDW
Recent form
DLDDL
Avg goals scored
2.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.80
Shots on target for
7.00
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
6.00
Home splitW-D-W-W-W3.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-W-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.66. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -10.11% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League One (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.66
V2 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160
V4 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Hamilton, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Hamilton has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 14.7% 7D: 39.1% 15D: 6.2% 30D: 12.7%
Model insight

Hamilton – Alloa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -10.11% and -10.11%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample298
Win Rate59.4%
Profit-0.48u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINPenarol - Montevideo Wanderers1.71-9.21%
LOSSMylliem SC - Laitkor SC1.65-9.21%
LOSSVJS Vantaa - PK Keski-Uusimaa1.71-7.35%
WINLanzhou Longyuan Athletic - Beijing Institute1.66-7.35%
WINGornik Leczna - KKS 1925 Kalisz1.63-4.66%
WINGKS Tychy 71 - Zaglebie Sosnowiec1.69-9.21%
WINUNA Strassen - Victoria Rosport1.72-10.11%
WINHammarby TFF - FC Arlanda1.63-7.35%
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Pick
1 @ 1.66
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -10.11% • n=160
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-10.11% • n=160
Start
Starts in 2d 3h
Updated
Updated 6m ago
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