Auckland City vs East Coast Bays
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Auckland City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Auckland CityGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Cup (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Auckland City as the more reliable side. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Auckland City's attacking profile.
Auckland City – East Coast Bays Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | UMF Selfoss - Dalvik/Reynir | 1.67 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves - Villa Dalmine Reserves | 1.68 | -6.04% |
| WIN | Chungnam Asan FC - Siheung City AC | 1.72 | -6.04% |
| LOSS | Crusaders - Newington FC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Nasaf Qarshi - Qizilqum Zarafshon | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Club Guarani Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1.72 | -10.11% |
| LOSS | Honduras U20 - Jamaica U20 | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri | 1.75 | -7.35% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| FC Arges Pitesti - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1 | 1.74 | -10.11% | 31 Jul 17:30 |
| LKS Lodz - Polonia Bytom | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 31 Jul 18:00 |
| Hume City - Melbourne City FC 2 | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 01 Aug 06:00 |
| Slovan Liberec - FK Teplice | 1 | 1.72 | -9.21% | 01 Aug 17:00 |
| Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United | 1 | 1.71 | -7.35% | 02 Aug 01:30 |
| IFK Goteborg - Degerfors | 1 | 1.74 | -7.35% | 02 Aug 14:00 |