Model: TIPPSH
Botev Vratsa – Beroe
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.46
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 4d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 5h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Botev Vratsa | Beroe |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-D-D | L-L-D-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-D-W-W (home) | L-D-W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 0.80 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 3.00 against | 4.00 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.20 for / 3.00 against (home) | 5.40 for / 5.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Botev Vratsa has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.91First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds1.91Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Botev Vratsa – Beroe Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.46. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample27
Win Rate48.1%
Profit+4.54u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Muniz - Fenix | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 - JK Nomme United II | 2.47 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Escobar FC - Independiente Chivilcoy | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| WIN | CA Alvarado - Olimpo B Blanca | 2.23 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Araguaina - Porto Velho EC | 2.31 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Club America (W) - Washington Spirit (W) | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Atletico Goianiense U20 - Royal U20 | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Uniao Rondonopolis - Ceilandia | 2.41 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks | 1 | 2.37 | 1.59% | 29 May 21:00 |
| Fram Reykjavik - Breidablik | 1 | 2.32 | 1.59% | 29 May 21:15 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Avai - Criciuma | 1 | 2.35 | 1.59% | 30 May 21:00 |
| Manta FC - Club Atletico Libertad | 1 | 2.31 | 1.59% | 30 May 21:00 |
| Degerfors - Brommapojkarna | 1 | 2.39 | 1.59% | 31 May 14:00 |
| Quilmes - Atletico Rafaela | 1 | 2.21 | 1.04% | 31 May 22:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.46
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.70% • n=209
Start
Started 4d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 5h ago