Model: TIPPSH

Brusque vs Santa Cruz FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.07

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 14, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 51d 5h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 51d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Brusque. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BrusqueGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.34First seen

Current2.07Now

Max odds2.42Highest point

Min odds2.07Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BrusqueHOME

Santa Cruz FCAWAY

LDWLW

Recent form

WDDWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.60

Shots on target for

4.00

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

3.20

Home splitL-W-W-W-W1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-L-L0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.07. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.07

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Brusque's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 31.9% 7D: 2.8% 15D: 0.9% 30D: 14.4%

Model insight

Brusque – Santa Cruz FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.07. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample469

Win Rate48.0%

Profit-9.67u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Hapoel Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1.82	1.31%
WIN	Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC	2.19	1.04%
LOSS	Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2	1.92	1.31%
WIN	Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov	2.08	1.04%
WIN	St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC	1.83	1.04%
LOSS	Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia	2.04	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.07

Kickoff

Giu 14, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 51d 5h ago

Updated

Updated 51d 7h ago