Derby Academie vs Mali Coura
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Derby Academie. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Derby AcademieGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.54. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mali Premiere Division (ml). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Derby Academie – Mali Coura Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FK Volga Ulyanovsk - FK Chelyabinsk | 2.46 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Aragua - Bolivar SC | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Udelas FC - San Francisco Reserves | 2.41 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Vila Nova GO (W) - Ceara (W) | 2.46 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Man Utd - Atletico Madrid | 2.60 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Bochum II - Borussia Dortmund II | 2.73 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Union Cocle - San Francisco FC | 2.52 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | La Serena - O'Higgins | 2.45 | 1.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| UAI Urquiza - Argentino Quilmes | 1 | 2.74 | 1.59% | 01 Aug 20:00 |
| Sacramento Republic - Tulsa | 1 | 2.54 | 1.59% | 06 Aug 02:30 |
| Philadelphia Union - Cruz Azul | 1 | 2.56 | 1.59% | 07 Aug 02:00 |
| Wycombe - Stevenage | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 07 Aug 20:45 |
| IK Start - Fredrikstad | 1 | 2.31 | 1.41% | 08 Aug 18:00 |