Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Penarol. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: PenarolGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.177 | A: 0.190Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Torneo Intermedio (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market is strongly leaning toward Penarol, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Penarol – Montevideo Wanderers Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Mylliem SC - Laitkor SC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | VJS Vantaa - PK Keski-Uusimaa | 1.71 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic - Beijing Institute | 1.66 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Gornik Leczna - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1.63 | -4.66% |
| WIN | GKS Tychy 71 - Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| WIN | UNA Strassen - Victoria Rosport | 1.72 | -10.11% |
| WIN | Hammarby TFF - FC Arlanda | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Olimpia Asuncion - Rubio Nu | 1.75 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk | 1 | 1.66 | -4.66% | 07 Aug 21:00 |
| Heidenheim - VfL Osnabruck | 1 | 1.64 | -9.21% | 08 Aug 13:00 |
| Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge | 1 | 1.68 | -7.35% | 08 Aug 14:00 |
| Harrogate Town - Solihull Moors | 1 | 1.62 | -9.21% | 08 Aug 16:00 |
| Tondela - Amarante | 1 | 1.68 | -9.21% | 08 Aug 19:00 |
| Rotor Volgograd - FK Chelyabinsk | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 17:30 |