Model: TIPPSH

FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia

PREDICTION

@ 2.46

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 13h 50m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Tokyo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC TokyoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.122 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.43First seen

Current2.46Now

Max odds2.48Highest point

Min odds2.43Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC TokyoHOME

Machida ZelviaAWAY

LLDLD

Recent form

WDWDD

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

5.60

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.60

Home splitL-L-W-L-W1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-D-D1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.46. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J-League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.46

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Tokyo's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -5.2% 7D: 17.0% 15D: 3.7% 30D: 10.7%

Model insight

FC Tokyo – Machida Zelvia Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.46. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample184

Win Rate44.0%

Profit+9.45u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Karlovy Vary - Sokol Hostoun	2.36	1.59%
LOSS	Gold Coast Knights (W) - Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	2.38	1.59%
LOSS	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	2.21	1.04%
WIN	Philadelphia Union - Cruz Azul	2.56	1.59%
WIN	Sacramento Republic - Tulsa	2.54	1.59%
LOSS	Wycombe - Stevenage	2.40	1.59%
LOSS	FK Volga Ulyanovsk - FK Chelyabinsk	2.46	1.59%
LOSS	Las Vegas Lights FC - Oakland Roots	2.21	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.46

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 13h 50m

Updated

Updated 11m ago