Gramadense vs Brasil de Farroupilha
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Gramadense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: GramadenseGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.39. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Gaucho (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Gramadense has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Gramadense – Brasil de Farroupilha Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Buzios - Barra Mansa | 2.35 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Marconi Stallions U20 - Sydney United 58 U20 | 2.23 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Boroondara Eagles (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 2.45 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Sport Huancayo II - Comerciantes FC | 2.53 | 1.59% |
| WIN | HNK Segesta - Karlovac | 2.40 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | FC Ajka - Csakvari TK | 2.40 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Hills United FC - Hakoah Sydney City East | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 20 Jul 20:30 |
| Keflavik - IA Akranes | 1 | 2.36 | 1.59% | 20 Jul 21:15 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 2.43 | 1.59% | 21 Jul 21:00 |
| Hajduk Split - Pafos FC | 1 | 2.26 | 1.59% | 23 Jul 21:00 |
| Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 00:30 |