Jalapa – Matagalpa FC

Model: TIPPSH

Jalapa vs Matagalpa FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 24, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 21h 4m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Jalapa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JalapaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.140 | A: -0.088

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.23First seen
Current2.10Now
Max odds2.27Highest point
Min odds2.07Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JalapaHOME
VS
Matagalpa FCAWAY
LLLLW
Recent form
WLLLL
Avg goals scored
0.40
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.40
Shots on target for
3.20
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
7.00
Home splitL-L-W-D-W0.80 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W-D1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Nicaragua Apertura (ni). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.90
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 27.4% 7D: 24.1% 15D: 1.0% 30D: 4.5%
Model insight

Jalapa – Matagalpa FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample710
Win Rate51.4%
Profit-3.04u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSAcademia de Balompie Boliviano - GV San Jose2.101.31%
LOSSEstoril - Rio Ave2.051.31%
WINNK Vrhnika - ND Dravinja2.001.31%
WINCA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves - SD Atletico Nacional1.831.31%
LOSSKoninklijke HFC - Barendrecht2.151.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Ago 24, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 21h 4m
Updated
Updated 7m ago
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