Jalapa vs Matagalpa FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Jalapa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: JalapaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.140 | A: -0.088Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Nicaragua Apertura (ni). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Jalapa – Matagalpa FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Tauro FC Reserves - Alianza FC Reserves | 1.78 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportes Linares - Santiago City | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CE Bento Goncalves - GE Bage | 1.77 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Academia de Balompie Boliviano - GV San Jose | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Estoril - Rio Ave | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| WIN | NK Vrhnika - ND Dravinja | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| WIN | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves - SD Atletico Nacional | 1.83 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Koninklijke HFC - Barendrecht | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Leixoes - UD Leiria | 1 | 2.13 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 12:00 |
| North Carolina Courage (W) - Boston Legacy FC (W) | 1 | 1.84 | 1.04% | 23 Aug 01:30 |
| St. Louis City SC - Houston Dynamo | 1 | 2.12 | 1.31% | 23 Aug 02:30 |