Model: TIPPSH
Moggill – North Lakes United
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 9d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Moggill | North Lakes United |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-D-W | L-L-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W (home) | L-W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 4.67 scored / 0.33 conceded | 2.50 scored / 2.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 11.00 for / 4.40 against | 10.20 for / 12.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 11.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 11.50 for / 12.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.73First seen
Current1.80Now
Max odds1.80Highest point
Min odds1.58Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Moggill – North Lakes United Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample236
Win Rate54.2%
Profit+7.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Real Monarchs SLC - Colorado Rapids II | 1.76 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.80
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 9d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 15h ago