Tondela vs Amarante
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Tondela. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TondelaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.039 | A: 0.049Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.66. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Tondela – Amarante Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Mylliem SC - Laitkor SC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | VJS Vantaa - PK Keski-Uusimaa | 1.71 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic - Beijing Institute | 1.66 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Gornik Leczna - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1.63 | -4.66% |
| WIN | GKS Tychy 71 - Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| WIN | UNA Strassen - Victoria Rosport | 1.72 | -10.11% |
| WIN | Hammarby TFF - FC Arlanda | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Olimpia Asuncion - Rubio Nu | 1.75 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Penarol - Montevideo Wanderers | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 06 Aug 01:00 |
| Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk | 1 | 1.66 | -4.66% | 07 Aug 21:00 |
| Heidenheim - VfL Osnabruck | 1 | 1.64 | -9.21% | 08 Aug 13:00 |
| Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge | 1 | 1.68 | -7.35% | 08 Aug 14:00 |
| Harrogate Town - Solihull Moors | 1 | 1.62 | -9.21% | 08 Aug 16:00 |
| Rotor Volgograd - FK Chelyabinsk | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 17:30 |