Model: TIPPSH
University NSW vs Wollongong Wolves
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.31
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 52d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 52d 14h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is University NSW. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: University NSWGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
26/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.58First seen
Current2.55Now
Max odds2.63Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
University NSWHOME
VS
Wollongong WolvesAWAY
WWWLD
Recent form
LWWDD
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.60
Shots on target for
6.20
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
5.80
Home splitW-W-W-D-W1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-W-W1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.31. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.31
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandNONEROI -0.70% · n=209
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives University NSW a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to University NSW's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.2%
7D: 11.7%
15D: 23.7%
30D: 9.3%
Model insight
University NSW – Wollongong Wolves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.31. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample212
Win Rate46.2%
Profit+6.71u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh | 2.17 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Keflavik - IA Akranes | 2.36 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Buzios - Barra Mansa | 2.35 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Marconi Stallions U20 - Sydney United 58 U20 | 2.23 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Boroondara Eagles (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 2.45 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 2.43 | 1.59% | 21 Jul 21:00 |
| Hajduk Split - Pafos FC | 1 | 2.26 | 1.59% | 23 Jul 21:00 |
| Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 00:30 |
| AaB - Hillerød | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 24 Jul 19:00 |
| Vasco da Gama - Mirassol | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 01:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.31
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.70% • n=209
Start
Started 52d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 52d 14h ago