Model: TIPPSH
Gramadense – Brasil de Farroupilha
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.39
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 2d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Gramadense | Brasil de Farroupilha |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-L | D-D-D-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.67 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.67 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-D-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 4.33 against | 2.75 for / 6.25 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.50 for / 4.00 against (home) | 3.00 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Gramadense is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 13.0%
7D: 17.0%
15D: 23.8%
30D: 10.6%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.94First seen
Current2.39Now
Max odds2.39Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Gramadense – Brasil de Farroupilha Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.39. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample55
Win Rate52.7%
Profit+12.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Quilmes Reserves - Deportivo Laferrere Reserves | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Sportivo Italiano - Argentino Merlo | 2.17 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Club Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Copiapo | 2.42 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Itabirito (W) - Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Olimpico Totana - Real Murcia B | 2.31 | 1.59% |
| WIN | NK Nafta 1903 - NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 2.28 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Kataller Toyama - Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 2.49 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 2.16 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Penarol Reserves - Torque Reserves | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 02 Jun 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.39
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 2d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 23h ago