Model: TIPPSH
Nacional De Football vs Juventud De Las Piedras
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.74
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 07, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 48d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 11h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Nacional De Football. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Nacional De FootballGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
4/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.64First seen
Current1.69Now
Max odds1.69Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Nacional De FootballHOME
VS
Juventud De Las PiedrasAWAY
WLWWD
Recent form
LLDDW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.80
Shots on target for
4.40
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
3.20
Home splitW-W-W-D-W1.60 scored / 0.20 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-W-D1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.74. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Torneo Intermedio (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.74
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Nacional De Football showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 13.6%
7D: -1.5%
15D: 18.6%
30D: 15.7%
Model insight
Nacional De Football – Juventud De Las Piedras Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample233
Win Rate58.4%
Profit-4.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Alianza Atletico - CD Los Chankas | 1.68 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Tikves Kavadarci - KF Arsimi | 1.73 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Herediano - Puntarenas | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Terengganu U20 - Penang U20 | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Tepatitlan FC - Alacranes de Durango | 1.70 | -6.04% |
| WIN | Nottm Forest - Blackburn | 1.74 | -6.04% |
| LOSS | Stranraer - FC Edinburgh | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Tamworth - Aston Villa U21 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Laval - Concarneau | 1 | 1.75 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 11:00 |
| Honefoss - Skeid | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 14:00 |
| FC Fredericia - HB Køge | 1 | 1.62 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Sokol Kleczew | 1 | 1.69 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 19:00 |
| Haugesund - Bryne | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 20:00 |
| CA Estudiantes Caseros - Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 1 | 1.68 | -6.04% | 25 Jul 20:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.74
Kickoff
Giu 07, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 48d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 11h ago