BFC Daugavpils – SK Super Nova

Model: TIPPSH

BFC Daugavpils vs SK Super Nova

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 48d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is BFC Daugavpils. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BFC DaugavpilsGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.94First seen
Current2.05Now
Max odds2.19Highest point
Min odds1.91Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BFC DaugavpilsHOME
VS
SK Super NovaAWAY
DDDLW
Recent form
DLLLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.40
Shots on target for
5.20
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
4.20
Home splitD-L-W-L-L0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-W-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.04
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. BFC Daugavpils is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -1.6% 7D: 3.8% 15D: -5.1% 30D: 10.8%
Model insight

BFC Daugavpils – SK Super Nova Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample483
Win Rate47.2%
Profit-24.07u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSBollstanäs SK - IK Franke2.101.31%
WINReipas - PPJ1.851.04%
WINSpartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa2.221.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.04
Kickoff
Giu 16, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 48d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 1h ago
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