Model: TIPPSH
BFC Daugavpils – SK Super Nova
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.92
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 18h 28m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 31m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | SK Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-L-W-L | L-L-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-L-L-L (home) | L-L-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded | 0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.80 for / 4.80 against | 4.20 for / 3.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.20 for / 4.80 against (home) | 3.40 for / 3.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -14.0%
7D: -1.8%
15D: -7.3%
30D: 10.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.94First seen
Current1.92Now
Max odds1.94Highest point
Min odds1.91Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
BFC Daugavpils – SK Super Nova Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.92. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample209
Win Rate43.1%
Profit-34.03u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Ymir Kopavogur - FC Arbaer | 1.83 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Philadelphia Union II - New York City FC II | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Jitex BK (W) - Enskede IK (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | CA Costa Brava - Cipolletti | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Falkenbergs FF - Orebro SK | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Jacuipense U20 - Vitoria da Conquista U20 | 1.76 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Pointe Michel FC - Bath Estate | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | SFC Shturmi - FC Telavi | 1.98 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Universidad de Chile - O'Higgins | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 19 Jun 02:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.92
Kickoff
Giu 16, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 18h 28m
Updated
Updated 2h 31m ago