BFC Daugavpils vs SK Super Nova
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is BFC Daugavpils. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BFC DaugavpilsGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. BFC Daugavpils is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
BFC Daugavpils – SK Super Nova Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2 | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 2.16 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Reipas - PPJ | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa | 2.22 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC | 1 | 2.19 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 14:30 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 17:30 |
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 21:00 |
| Llaneros - Fortaleza CEIF | 1 | 2.11 | 1.31% | 04 Aug 23:10 |
| FC Cincinnati - Pachuca | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 05 Aug 01:45 |