Model: TIPPSH
Nueva Chicago – Atletico Rafaela
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.72
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 18h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Nueva Chicago | Atletico Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-L-L | D-W-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-D-D (home) | D-L-L-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.20 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 3.80 against | 3.80 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.60 for / 2.40 against (home) | 3.20 for / 5.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -27.5%
7D: -22.3%
15D: -7.7%
30D: 8.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.49First seen
Current2.72Now
Max odds2.72Highest point
Min odds2.49Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Nueva Chicago – Atletico Rafaela Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate46.2%
Profit+4.86u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco FC | 2.63 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Talleres Cordoba U20 - CA Independiente U20 | 2.57 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Hohenems - FC Dornbirn 1913 | 2.48 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Derby Academie - Mali Coura | 2.63 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Gremio U20 - Fluminense U20 | 2.52 | 1.59% |
| WIN | South Korea - Czechia | 2.69 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Castuera - CD Quintana | 2.61 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Maldives - Bangladesh U23 | 2.70 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.72
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Starts in 2d 18h
Updated
Updated 10m ago