TPV II – NoPS

Model: TIPPSH

TPV II vs NoPS

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 24, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3h 29m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 42m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is TPV II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: TPV II

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TPV IIHOME
VS
NoPSAWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
WDDWW
Avg goals scored
2.20
3.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.60
Shots on target for
8.20
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
6.50
Home splitW-W-W-L-L1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L2.25 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. TPV II has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 6.4% 7D: 1.4% 15D: -3.1% 30D: -2.0%
Model insight

TPV II – NoPS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample270
Win Rate46.3%
Profit-23.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINAlftanes - Arborg2.171.31%
WINGold Coast Knights - Eastern Suburbs2.191.04%
WINCA Talleres de Cordoba (W) - Huracan (W)1.901.04%
LOSSGuarani de Palhoca - Nacao2.001.31%
WINMaitland FC - Newcastle Olympic FC1.841.31%
WINIFK Goteborg (W) - Trelleborgs FF (W)1.771.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Giu 24, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 3h 29m
Updated
Updated 3h 42m ago
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