Model: TIPPSH

Utah Royals (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.04

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 19, 2026 4:45 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 19h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Utah Royals (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Utah Royals (W)

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.94First seen

Current2.04Now

Max odds2.04Highest point

Min odds1.94Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Utah Royals (W)HOME

Orlando Pride (W)AWAY

LLDWW

Recent form

LWLWW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.40

Defensive weakness

2.00

0.80

Shots on target for

7.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

5.40

Home splitL-W-W-W-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA NWSL Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.04

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Utah Royals (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -25.7% 7D: -11.5% 15D: 8.3% 30D: 14.8%

Model insight

Utah Royals (W) – Orlando Pride (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample331

Win Rate47.1%

Profit-16.93u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	One Knoxville SC - Fort Wayne FC	1.79	1.04%
WIN	FK Jablonec - FC Kharkiv	2.26	1.59%
LOSS	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	1.98	1.31%
WIN	FC Fredericia - CD Mafra	1.81	1.04%
LOSS	Gyeongnam FC - Yeoju	1.82	1.04%
LOSS	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	1.92	1.31%
WIN	AB Copenhagen - Helsingborg	1.95	1.04%
WIN	La Luz - Tacuarembo	1.95	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Lech Poznan - Gornik Zabrze	1	1.81	1.31%	16 Jul 19:00
Botafogo - Santos	1	2.05	1.31%	17 Jul 00:30
Perth SC - Western Knights	1	1.86	1.04%	17 Jul 13:00
Sao Bernardo SP - Avai	1	1.96	1.31%	18 Jul 00:00
Club Atletico Temperley - Atletico Rafaela	1	1.86	1.31%	18 Jul 01:30
Leon - Atlas	1	2.06	1.04%	18 Jul 03:00

Pick

1 @ 2.04

Kickoff

Lug 19, 2026 4:45 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 2d 19h

Updated

Updated 8m ago