Model: TIPPSH

Elfsborg (W) vs Umea IK (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.72

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 25, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 5h 20m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 53m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Elfsborg (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Elfsborg (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.67First seen

Current1.72Now

Max odds1.76Highest point

Min odds1.67Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Elfsborg (W)HOME

Umea IK (W)AWAY

DDWWW

Recent form

LLLLW

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.40

Shots on target for

7.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

4.67

Home splitD-W-W-D-W1.60 scored / 0.20 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-D1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.72. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -10.11% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Elitettan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.72

V2 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Elfsborg (W), and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Elfsborg (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 17.5% 7D: 33.6% 15D: 20.0% 30D: 24.3%

Model insight

Elfsborg (W) – Umea IK (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -10.11% and -10.11%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample233

Win Rate58.4%

Profit-4.45u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Alianza Atletico - CD Los Chankas	1.68	-7.35%
WIN	Tikves Kavadarci - KF Arsimi	1.73	-7.35%
LOSS	Herediano - Puntarenas	1.63	-9.21%
WIN	Terengganu U20 - Penang U20	1.63	-7.35%
LOSS	Tepatitlan FC - Alacranes de Durango	1.70	-6.04%
WIN	Nottm Forest - Blackburn	1.74	-6.04%
LOSS	Stranraer - FC Edinburgh	1.63	-9.21%
LOSS	Tamworth - Aston Villa U21	1.68	-9.21%

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Pick

1 @ 1.72

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -10.11% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-10.11% • n=160

Start

Starts in 5h 20m

Updated

Updated 4h 53m ago