Model: TIPPSH
Barry Town vs Gloucester
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 25, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 16h 19m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 5h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Barry Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Barry TownGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
35/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds2.44Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendStableShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Barry TownHOME
VS
GloucesterAWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
WLWWL
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.60
Shots on target for
5.20
4.50
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
2.75
Home splitL-W-W-D-L1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W-W2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.40. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.40
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 11.9%
7D: 23.7%
15D: 16.2%
30D: 22.5%
Model insight
Barry Town – Gloucester Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample185
Win Rate43.8%
Profit+3.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata | 2.31 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Real Murcia - Port Vale | 2.31 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers | 2.28 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Polissya Zhytomyr II - UCSA | 2.29 | 1.59% |
| WIN | San Diego FC - FC Dallas | 2.26 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Philadelphia Union - Seattle Sounders | 2.15 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Pocheon Citizen FC - Daejeon Korail | 2.16 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Eastern Lions - Box Hill United | 2.48 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Fyllingsdalen - Åsane Fotball 2 | 1 | 2.48 | 1.59% | 26 Jul 15:00 |
| Unia Skierniewice - Stal Mielec | 1 | 2.19 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 17:00 |
| SC Schwaz - SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 26 Jul 17:00 |
| Rangers de Talca - Deportes Copiapo | 1 | 2.47 | 1.59% | 26 Jul 18:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.40
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 16h 19m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 5h ago