Palmerston Rovers FC – Garuda FC

Model: TIPPSH

Palmerston Rovers FC vs Garuda FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.68
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 26, 2026 10:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3h 20m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Palmerston Rovers FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Palmerston Rovers FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.120 | A: -0.143

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.48First seen
Current1.68Now
Max odds1.68Highest point
Min odds1.47Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Palmerston Rovers FCHOME
VS
Garuda FCAWAY
LLDWL
Recent form
LDLLL
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
3.80
5.20
Shots on target for
4.60
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.80
8.00
Home splitD-W-L-W-L1.80 scored / 3.40 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-D1.40 scored / 4.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Darwin Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.68
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Palmerston Rovers FC showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Palmerston Rovers FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -11.8% 7D: 4.9% 15D: 11.3% 30D: 20.7%
Model insight

Palmerston Rovers FC – Garuda FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample242
Win Rate57.9%
Profit-6.73u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHouston Dynamo - Austin FC1.74-4.66%
LOSSIsloch - FC Baranovichi1.74-7.35%
LOSSZawisza Bydgoszcz - Sokol Kleczew1.69-9.21%
WINSporting - Monaco1.65-9.21%
LOSSLaval - Concarneau1.75-9.21%
WINAlianza Atletico - CD Los Chankas1.68-7.35%
WINFC Fredericia - HB Køge1.62-9.21%
WINHonefoss - Skeid1.71-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.68
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 10:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Starts in 3h 20m
Updated
Updated 11m ago
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