Model: TIPPSH

IK Start vs Fredrikstad

PREDICTION

@ 2.31

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 15h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IK Start. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IK StartGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.181 | A: -0.080

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IK StartHOME

FredrikstadAWAY

LWLLL

Recent form

WLLLL

Avg goals scored

0.80

0.40

Defensive weakness

2.20

2.00

Shots on target for

3.40

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

5.20

Home splitL-L-W-L-D0.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-D-L0.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.31. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=109 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Eliteserien (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.31

V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 40.7% 7D: 15.7% 15D: 5.5% 30D: 11.4%

Model insight

IK Start – Fredrikstad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.31. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.41% and 1.41%. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample279

Win Rate45.2%

Profit+2.28u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W)	2.16	1.31%
LOSS	FK Volga Ulyanovsk - FK Chelyabinsk	2.46	1.59%
LOSS	Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke	2.10	1.31%
WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2.22	1.04%
WIN	Udelas FC - San Francisco Reserves	2.41	1.59%
WIN	Vila Nova GO (W) - Ceara (W)	2.46	1.59%
LOSS	Real Sociedad B - Huesca	2.14	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.31

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=109

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.41% • n=109

Start

Starts in 4d 15h

Updated

Updated 7m ago