Juventude de Evora – Alcochetense

Model: TIPPSH

Juventude de Evora vs Alcochetense

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.51
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 7h 34m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Juventude de Evora. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Juventude de EvoraGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.51Now
Max odds2.51Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Juventude de EvoraHOME
VS
AlcochetenseAWAY
WWD
Recent form
WDW
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.33
Defensive weakness
0.67
0.67
Shots on target for
5.00
1.67
SoT conceded pressure
3.67
4.00
Home splitW-D2.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.51. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Campeonato Nacional (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.51
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Juventude de Evora is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -12.3% 7D: -15.5% 15D: 2.7% 30D: 5.0%
Model insight

Juventude de Evora – Alcochetense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.51. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample205
Win Rate39.5%
Profit-7.53u
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Pick
1 @ 2.51
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Starts in 7h 34m
Updated
Updated 9m ago
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