Model: TIPPSH

University NSW vs Manly Utd

PREDICTION

@ 2.71

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 11:15 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 11h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is University NSW. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: University NSWGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.147 | A: 0.102

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.00First seen

Current2.71Now

Max odds3.00Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

University NSWHOME

Manly UtdAWAY

DLLLW

Recent form

LWDWD

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.20

Shots on target for

6.20

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

5.60

Home splitL-W-W-L-L1.80 scored / 2.60 conceded

Away splitD-D-D-L-W1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.71. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.71

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. University NSW has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 39.4% 7D: -4.1% 15D: -0.5% 30D: 2.9%

Model insight

University NSW – Manly Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample94

Win Rate44.7%

Profit+18.25u

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LOSS	Lillestrøm 2 - Harstad	2.63	2.49%
WIN	BSK Banja Luka - Velez Mostar	2.90	4.53%

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Pick

1 @ 2.71

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 11:15 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Starts in 1d 11h

Updated

Updated 11m ago