Gloria Popesti Leordeni – FC Bacau

Model: TIPPSH

Gloria Popesti Leordeni vs FC Bacau

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 19, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 3h 57m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 1m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gloria Popesti Leordeni. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gloria Popesti LeordeniGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.052 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.22First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.58Highest point
Min odds2.22Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gloria Popesti LeordeniHOME
VS
FC BacauAWAY
LDWWD
Recent form
WWWLW
Avg goals scored
2.00
2.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.60
Shots on target for
6.40
4.25
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.00
Home splitL-W-W-W-W2.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-L1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Romania Cup (ro). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Gloria Popesti Leordeni. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Gloria Popesti Leordeni's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 44.6% 7D: -5.8% 15D: -1.0% 30D: 2.9%
Model insight

Gloria Popesti Leordeni – FC Bacau Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample145
Win Rate44.1%
Profit+11.22u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSOlimpia Elblag - Widzew Lodz II2.452.49%
WINKalamata - Panetolikos2.452.49%
LOSSJaguares de Cordoba U19 - Barranquilla FC U192.422.49%
WINRostov - Lokomotiv Moscow2.492.49%
LOSSFC Gagra - FC Spaeri2.302.49%
LOSSKT Reykjavik (W) - Dalvik/Reynir (W)2.332.49%
LOSSMuglaspor - Bandirmaspor2.754.53%
LOSSLillestrøm 2 - Harstad2.632.49%
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Pick
1 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Ago 19, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 3h 57m ago
Updated
Updated 6h 1m ago
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