Model: TIPPSH

Tonbridge Angels vs Truro City

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 2

StartStarted 9h 35m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11h 37m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tonbridge Angels. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tonbridge AngelsGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.032 | A: 0.065

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.91First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds2.91Highest point

Min odds2.57Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tonbridge AngelsHOME

Truro CityAWAY

LWLWW

Recent form

WWDWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.20

Shots on target for

4.40

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

2.80

Home splitL-L-W-D-L1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.60. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.60

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandNONEROI -0.70% · n=209

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Tonbridge Angels has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 36.1% 7D: 2.0% 15D: 3.6% 30D: 3.5%

Model insight

Tonbridge Angels – Truro City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample181

Win Rate37.0%

Profit-14.18u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Roosendaal - FC Lisse	2.65	1.59%
LOSS	Needham Market - Halesowen	2.37	1.59%
WIN	Madla - Vidar	2.47	1.41%
LOSS	Al Khaleej Saihat - Al Shabab Riyadh	2.65	1.59%
LOSS	Sparta Rotterdam - FC Utrecht	2.65	1.59%
WIN	Chichester City - Chippenham Town	2.50	1.59%
WIN	INAC Leonessa (W) - Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	2.48	1.59%
WIN	SK Hranice - MFK Havirov	2.50	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-0.70% • n=209

Start

Started 9h 35m ago

Updated

Updated 11h 37m ago