Model: TIPPSH

Cardiff Draconians vs Llanelli Town

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3h 20m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cardiff Draconians. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Cardiff DraconiansGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.027 | A: -0.126

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.05First seen

Current2.15Now

Max odds2.15Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Cardiff DraconiansHOME

Llanelli TownAWAY

LDLWD

Recent form

LDLLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

4.40

Shots on target for

6.00

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

9.60

Home splitL-W-D2.33 scored / 2.33 conceded

Away splitL-L-L0.00 scored / 5.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.15

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Cardiff Draconians has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 48.8% 7D: 3.2% 15D: 2.8% 30D: 4.1%

Model insight

Cardiff Draconians – Llanelli Town Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample345

Win Rate44.1%

Profit-26.97u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Leixoes - UD Leiria	2.35	2.49%
WIN	Ferrymead Bays - Nelson Suburbs	2.05	3.37%
LOSS	Tochigi SC - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1.94	3.37%
LOSS	ASD Seravezza Calcio - Scandicci	2.00	3.37%
LOSS	Dangjin Citizen FC - Yeoju	2.02	3.37%
LOSS	First Vienna FC 1894 (W) - SK Sturm Graz (W)	2.40	3.15%
LOSS	Mawlai SC - Shillong Lajong Reserves	2.29	3.15%
LOSS	TuPS - JäPS/47	2.28	2.49%

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Pick

1 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.37% • n=795

Start

Starts in 3h 20m

Updated

Updated 14h 11m ago