Tondela vs Academica
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Tondela. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TondelaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.070 | A: 0.252Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Tondela – Academica Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria | 1.95 | 1.31% |
| WIN | 24 de Setiembre - Silvio Pettirossi | 1.79 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.82 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Wisla Plock II - LKS Lomza | 2.02 | 1.04% |
| WIN | FK Zhenys - Kaisar Kyzylorda | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Slovan Bratislava - NK Celje | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Miedz Legnica II - Odra Bytom Odrzanski | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flota Swinoujscie - Victoria Wrzesnia | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| FC Cincinnati - New York City FC | 1 | 2.04 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 01:30 |
| Real Salt Lake - FC Dallas | 1 | 1.90 | 1.31% | 20 Aug 03:30 |
| Portland Timbers - San Diego FC | 1 | 2.09 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:30 |