Model: TIPPSH
Quilmes Reserves vs Deportivo Laferrere Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.34
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 01, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 48d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 16h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Quilmes Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Quilmes ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
34/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.34Now
Max odds2.34Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quilmes ReservesHOME
VS
Deportivo Laferrere ReservesAWAY
WLLLL
Recent form
LLWD
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.25
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.25
Shots on target for
3.00
3.25
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.25
Home splitW-L-L-W-W1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-W1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.34. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Reserve League (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.34
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -32.5%
7D: -2.3%
15D: 18.7%
30D: 13.3%
Model insight
Quilmes Reserves – Deportivo Laferrere Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample193
Win Rate46.1%
Profit+7.33u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Buzios - Barra Mansa | 2.35 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Marconi Stallions U20 - Sydney United 58 U20 | 2.23 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Boroondara Eagles (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 2.45 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Sport Huancayo II - Comerciantes FC | 2.53 | 1.59% |
| WIN | HNK Segesta - Karlovac | 2.40 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | FC Ajka - Csakvari TK | 2.40 | 1.59% |
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| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
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| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
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| Keflavik - IA Akranes | 1 | 2.36 | 1.59% | 20 Jul 21:15 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 2.43 | 1.59% | 21 Jul 21:00 |
| Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 00:30 |
| AaB - Hillerød | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 24 Jul 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.34
Kickoff
Giu 01, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 48d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 16h ago