Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs St George Willawong FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sunshine Coast Wanderers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sunshine Coast WanderersGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Sunshine Coast Wanderers, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Sunshine Coast Wanderers is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers – St George Willawong FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Tikves Kavadarci - KF Arsimi | 1.73 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Herediano - Puntarenas | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Terengganu U20 - Penang U20 | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Nottm Forest - Blackburn | 1.74 | -6.04% |
| LOSS | Stranraer - FC Edinburgh | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Tamworth - Aston Villa U21 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Hanworth Villa - Kingstonian | 1.67 | -4.66% |
| WIN | East Fife - Linlithgow Rose | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Alianza Atletico - CD Los Chankas | 1 | 1.68 | -7.35% | 24 Jul 22:00 |
| Tepatitlan FC - Alacranes de Durango | 1 | 1.70 | -6.04% | 25 Jul 03:00 |
| Laval - Concarneau | 1 | 1.75 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 11:00 |
| Honefoss - Skeid | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 14:00 |
| FC Fredericia - HB Køge | 1 | 1.62 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
| Haugesund - Bryne | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 20:00 |