Model: TIPPSH

Club Atletico Progreso Reserves vs Boston River Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 08, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 56d 18h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 57d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Club Atletico Progreso Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Club Atletico Progreso ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.50First seen

Current2.32Now

Max odds2.50Highest point

Min odds2.32Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Club Atletico Progreso ReservesHOME

Boston River ReservesAWAY

DLLLL

Recent form

DLWLL

Avg goals scored

0.80

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.60

Shots on target for

5.00

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.20

Home splitD-L-L-W-W1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Reserve League (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.05

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Club Atletico Progreso Reserves is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -10.8% 7D: -3.3% 15D: -1.2% 30D: 12.0%

Model insight

Club Atletico Progreso Reserves – Boston River Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample476

Win Rate46.8%

Profit-24.49u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2	1.92	1.31%
WIN	Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves	1.99	1.04%
WIN	St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC	1.83	1.04%
LOSS	Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia	2.04	1.04%
LOSS	Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W)	2.16	1.31%
LOSS	Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke	2.10	1.31%
WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Reipas - PPJ	1.85	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Giu 08, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 56d 18h ago

Updated

Updated 57d 3h ago