Wycombe vs Stevenage
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Wycombe. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: WycombeGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.060 | A: -0.096Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.40. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England EFL Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Wycombe is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Wycombe – Stevenage Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 2.16 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | FK Volga Ulyanovsk - FK Chelyabinsk | 2.46 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Aragua - Bolivar SC | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa | 2.22 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Udelas FC - San Francisco Reserves | 2.41 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Vila Nova GO (W) - Ceara (W) | 2.46 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Man Utd - Atletico Madrid | 2.60 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Union Cocle - San Francisco FC | 2.52 | 1.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC | 1 | 2.19 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 14:30 |
| Sacramento Republic - Tulsa | 1 | 2.54 | 1.59% | 06 Aug 02:30 |
| Las Vegas Lights FC - Oakland Roots | 1 | 2.21 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 04:30 |