Model: TIPPSH

Torpedo Moscow vs PFC Sochi

PREDICTION

@ 2.48

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 07, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarted 10h 55m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12h 59m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Torpedo Moscow. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Torpedo MoscowGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.082 | A: -0.114

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.67First seen

Current2.48Now

Max odds2.68Highest point

Min odds2.39Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Torpedo MoscowHOME

PFC SochiAWAY

LDWWW

Recent form

LWLDD

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.40

Shots on target for

4.60

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

1.80

5.80

Home splitD-W-W-W-D1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L-W1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.48. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Russia Division 1 (ru). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.48

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Torpedo Moscow. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Torpedo Moscow has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -22.1% 7D: 21.9% 15D: 3.3% 30D: 11.3%

Model insight

Torpedo Moscow – PFC Sochi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.48. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample180

Win Rate43.9%

Profit+10.04u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.48

Kickoff

Ago 07, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 10h 55m ago

Updated

Updated 12h 59m ago